Effects of country success on COVID-19 cumulative cases and excess deaths in 169 countries

Abstract

COVID-19 has caused over 260 million confirmed cases and over 5 million deaths globally. The results of statistical and multiple criteria analyses on the success of 169 countries and on COVID-19 cumulative cases and excess deaths show that the prosperity of a country relates directly to the consequences due to the pandemic. The topic of this article is the Country Success and COVID-19 (CSC) Map of the World. As a country’s success grows, this map shows how cumulative cases of COVID-19 increase; at the same time, excess deaths decrease. The indicators in the system of criteria regarding country success and sustainability are interrelated. Conditional country successes remain quite similar, despite changes to the numbers of countries and their indicators. Likewise, the seven clusters of countries under consideration group together independently of which system of indicators had been applied for their analysis. The 2020 Inglehart–Welzel Cultural Map of the World, which is grounded on surveys, and the CSC Map, which is grounded on statistical indicators, have axes that correlate with one another significantly. The CSC Map Model explains over 63% of the dispersions pertinent to COVID-19 cumulative cases, over 52% of COVID-19 excess deaths, and over 95% of country success variables. The layout of the clusters on the CSC Map changes little over time. Upon performance of the correlation analysis, it was established that strong and statistically significant relationships exist between 169 countries success and sustainability linked with their current air quality score (r = 0.602, p < 0.01) and the environmental performance index (EPI) score (r = 0.931, p < 0.01). The results obtained show that when a country’s EPI score and current air quality improve by 1%, excess deaths decrease, respectively, by 2.33 and 1.55%. Global integrated analysis on country successes, COVID-19 cumulative cases, and excess deaths comprise this study.