Plėtros scenarijų kūrimas organizacijose

Abstract

Success of an organization at the most depends on environmental driving forces, their dynamics and driving forces combination for a definite period. The latter type of circumstances requires extensive attentiveness forecasting environmental changes. The scenarios method is a perspective kind of means for this purpose. The current article represents the process of scenarios forming, suggests simplifying graphical tool - scenarios routes analysis. Due to usage of the tool, the experts working on scenarios submission may focus their attention on evaluation and creativity, because a visual outline of possible environmental effects provided by the tool is accurate enough to oversee all the significant environmental influences.