Catastrophic earthquakes prediction new method by hard cosmic radiation flux variations

Abstract

The comparison of experimental data of hard cosmic radiation flux (HCRF) obtained in Vilnius from 1987 till 1993 with catastrophic earthquakes (CE) was carried out. The correlation between HCRF variations and CE was detected. These results were used to predict CE development and realization in 1-2 days. The "impulses calculation" method is proposed to predict CE. The increase of HCRF impulses during 1-2 days registers prediction "criterion", i. e. the difference between minimal and maximal values during 1-2 days. After "creation" reach during 1-2 days more HCRF impulse number decrease CE is realized. This HCRF impulses course is suitable for single CE prediction. If after the fixed CE the next CE takes place in 3-5 days, the last CE would make an error on prediction. In this case the preceding CE prediction "omission" is possible. CE situation discovery is possible concerning a great area only according to single observation station (Vilnius) data. The CE proposed new prediction method by HCRF variations is most perspective among known electromagnetic methods because it has minimum hindrances number of external influences.