Leadership in energy security: behavioral patterns and long-term energy intensity

Abstract

In contemporary complex and insecure environment, leadership obtains a new additional role. Directions and ultimate goal of leadership emerges as topical field of practice and theory. Focus gradually shifts from a question “what leadership” to another question “leadership for what ultimate aim.” In the presented research, we will tackle one facet of broad area – leadership for sustainable development. Our aim is to discuss what results could be achieved via such important driving force as leadership for energy efficiency. In order to provide insights, the following approach will be adopted. Long-term energy intensity (until the year 2050) in selected countries will be forecasted, ceteris paribus assumption applied. Selection of countries will correspond the aim to compare long-term energy intensity tendencies in currently better developed and less developed European countries. Since the forecasting is based on current technological level of development, we assume that energy intensity change will be determined on behavioral patterns of energy consumption, which are basically determined by strength and efficiency of leadership in energy consumption area. Provided insights will let us generalize on role of leadership in such area as efficient energy use