Quantitative risk evaluation in technology changing investment projects using random scenario analysis

Abstract

Risk is a regular of the economic mechanism of business mobility, closely related with other regulators such as competition, innovation, profit, speculation and other. Therefore risk indicators must be considered when assesing the effectiveness of technology changing investment projects. The aim of the article is to evaluate risk of a chosen technology changing investment project using random scenario analysis. In order to determine technology changing investment project risk imitation modelling using multi-criterion and specialized mathematic-statistic programmes is implemented.