Mathematical Model of Airport Aviation Security

Abstract

Nowadays there is a duality in the definition of aviation security. In the study, the authors considered aviation security as a state of protection of aviation security from acts of unlawful interference, which is provided by a set of measures involving human and material resources. Current research on this topic leaves quite unexplored the impact of criminality and economic factors that could potentially affect the level of threats to the airport. Developed multiple regression aviation security model Schiphol Airport clearly demonstrates the importance of such factors, which have been deprived of attention among scientists. Potentially, the model could be expanded by creating a multi-level aviation security model that requires further research (particularly in terms of the Occam razor principle) and a significant sample of statistics. The obtained results confirmed authors assumption about the dependence of acts of unlawful interference and criminality of area in which the airport is located: there is a significant positive correlation; with an increase in criminality there is +0.017 increase in acts of unlawful interference. From a practical point of view, the developed model of aviation security allows to manage and forecast the level of danger in order to ensure the airport operation safety.